Lugano II vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
49.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
4 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LUZ
3 - 2
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 2
TAV
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
LUG
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
GOL
1 - 1
LUZ
72%
15%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 4
TAV
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PER
1 - 3
GOL
16%
17%
67%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
HER
2 - 4
GOL
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 2
GOL
35%
21%
44%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |