Lugano II vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAD
1 - 2
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 3
WIN
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 1
ESC
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TUG
3 - 2
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 2
LUZ
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GCB
2 - 2
TUG
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LUZ
2 - 2
GCB
56%
22%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
GCB
2 - 0
SCB
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FCG
4 - 2
GCB
46%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GCB
7 - 0
BUO
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |