Lugano II vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUZ
2 - 1
LUG
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
5 - 2
ZOF
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 3
RAP
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
CHA
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GCB
2 - 3
RAP
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LUZ
3 - 1
GCB
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GCB
3 - 1
STG
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
GCB
2 - 5
ESC
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ZOF
1 - 2
GCB
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |