Lugano II vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCW
2 - 0
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 2
MEN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAV
2 - 1
LUG
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 0
DIE
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCT
1 - 1
GRA
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MEN
0 - 0
FCT
45%
28%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FCT
0 - 2
TAV
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DIE
2 - 1
FCT
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FCT
2 - 0
ESC
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |