Lugano II vs FC Paradiso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAV
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 0
LUG
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LUG
3 - 0
GRA
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
LUZ
1 - 1
LUG
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FCP
1 - 1
YOU
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BUL
1 - 2
FCP
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
FCP
1 - 0
VEV
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DEL
0 - 1
FCP
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FCP
0 - 1
KRI
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |