Lugano II vs FC Paradiso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
RAP
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
LUG
52%
22%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 0
LUG
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
1 - 1
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
SOL
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCB
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SER
2 - 3
FCP
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 0
DEL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 1
FCP
63%
21%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
5 - 1
FCP
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |