Lugano II vs FC Paradiso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TUG
3 - 0
LUG
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
CAL
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
KRE
2 - 3
LUG
65%
18%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 1
BAZ
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AMR
4 - 1
LUG
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCW
4 - 0
FCP
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 1
YFJ
25%
21%
54%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 2
BEL
15%
17%
68%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
MEY
1 - 2
FCP
33%
22%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
KOS
1 - 3
FCP
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |