Lugano II vs FC Muri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SEU
1 - 0
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
RAP
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +4 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ESC
4 - 2
LUG
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUG
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
LUG
4 - 2
WIN
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FCM
2 - 2
GRA
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
FCG
1 - 1
FCM
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
FCM
3 - 2
ZUG
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FCW
1 - 1
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FCM
2 - 2
CHU
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |