Lugano II vs FC Muri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RAP
1 - 0
LUG
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
HON
54%
22%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCG
3 - 0
LUG
48%
23%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
ESC
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
5 - 1
LUG
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCM
0 - 1
YFJ
21%
23%
57%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 0
FCM
72%
17%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCM
0 - 1
MEN
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FCM
4 - 1
LUZ
21%
22%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +5 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 1
FCM
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |