Lugano II vs FC Malcantone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 0
LUG
24%
23%
52%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 1
LSS
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
AAR
0 - 1
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
8 - 1
KUS
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
IBA
0 - 1
LUG
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
0 - 2
MAL
17%
23%
59%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 1
MAL
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KUS
1 - 4
MAL
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
FCS
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 0
SCH
82%
12%
5%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |