Lugano II vs FC Gossau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 4
FCT
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCW
2 - 0
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 2
MEN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gossau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCG
3 - 1
GRA
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MEN
3 - 1
FCG
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCG
2 - 2
TAV
75%
15%
11%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DIE
1 - 4
FCG
53%
21%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FCG
2 - 1
ESC
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |