Lugano II vs FC Gossau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
4 - 1
GCB
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
CHA
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
YFJ
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 2
LUG
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LUZ
8 - 1
LUG
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gossau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
FCG
0 - 0
RAP
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
YFJ
8 - 1
FCG
81%
12%
6%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCG
2 - 2
ESC
16%
19%
64%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
MEN
0 - 0
FCG
62%
22%
17%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 1
FCG
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |