Lugano II vs FC Balzers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 0
TUG
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCW
2 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAD
3 - 0
LUG
87%
10%
4%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 3
UZW
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FCG
5 - 3
LUG
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Balzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FCB
4 - 3
LIN
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 2
TUG
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
UZW
3 - 2
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FCB
2 - 2
WIN
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
STG
4 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |