Lugano II vs FC Balzers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
LUG
85%
11%
5%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 3
FCM
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MEN
2 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
KRE
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 2
LUG
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
FC Balzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
RAP
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 2
FCB
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 0
TRI
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
ZUG
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HON
1 - 0
FCB
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |