Lugano II vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
LUG
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
TUG
47%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 2
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 0
LUG
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LUG
6 - 0
FCB
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
EMM
5 - 1
LUZ
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ZOF
3 - 0
EMM
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SCH
5 - 2
EMM
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
EMM
2 - 5
SOL
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DEL
1 - 2
EMM
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |