Lugano II vs Dietikon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 2
LUG
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCM
39%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SEU
1 - 0
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
RAP
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +4 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ESC
4 - 2
LUG
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dietikon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 4
WIL
8%
12%
80%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MEN
3 - 0
DIE
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DIE
2 - 0
TAV
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
DIE
4 - 1
FCO
86%
9%
4%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MUT
0 - 3
DIE
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |