Lugano II vs Delemont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 2
LUG
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 2
CHA
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAV
3 - 1
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
BUL
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
LUG
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Delemont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 0
SCB
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 3
DEL
34%
23%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KRI
6 - 2
DEL
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DEL
3 - 2
ETO
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
DEL
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |