Lugano II vs SC Cham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 3
LUG
81%
13%
5%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
LUZ
19%
21%
61%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
FCZ
3 - 0
LUG
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 0
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
YOU
62%
20%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUL
0 - 0
CHA
36%
24%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 3
VEV
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEL
0 - 1
CHA
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCP
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |