Lugano II vs SC Cham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAV
3 - 1
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
BUL
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
LUG
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 3
STG
36%
24%
41%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 0
LUG
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
SCB
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
CHA
26%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
DEL
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 3
CHA
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KRI
0 - 4
CHA
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |