Lugano II vs FC Basel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BIE
1 - 3
LUG
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KRI
0 - 1
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUG
4 - 0
SCB
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
LUG
51%
22%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 0
DEL
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCB
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
27%
22%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 1
DEL
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 2
CHA
32%
24%
45%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |