Lugano II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
WIN
4 - 0
LUG
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 1
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
TUG
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 2
LUG
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 1
SCB
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 2
TUG
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 3
BAD
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 0
SCB
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 5
BAD
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 0
BUO
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |