Lugano II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 2
LUG
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 1
GCB
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUZ
2 - 1
LUG
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
5 - 2
ZOF
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUZ
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
ZOF
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAD
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BAD
5 - 0
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 3
BAD
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |