Lugano II vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LOC
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
3 - 3
LUG
28%
25%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
IBA
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 2
LUG
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
ASC
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 2
IBA
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HER
3 - 0
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 5
TAV
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |