Lugano II vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VED
4 - 1
LUG
35%
22%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
ESC
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ZOF
1 - 2
LUG
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
GOL
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 0
ASC
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 0
PER
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 0
HOC
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |