Lugano II vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
3 - 3
LUG
28%
25%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
IBA
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 2
LUG
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 2
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GOL
6 - 0
LUG
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 4
NOV
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
HER
22%
19%
60%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 1
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 4
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |