Lugano II vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LUZ
3 - 2
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 2
TAV
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
LUG
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HOC
3 - 1
LUG
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASC
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUZ
0 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
VED
2 - 2
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TAV
4 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESC
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |