Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-3
Ludogorets vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 2
LUD
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 2
DZG
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LUD
5 - 0
SVA
77%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHR
2 - 1
LUD
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 5
ZAL
21%
25%
55%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 1
BOG
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAN
77%
17%
6%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
BOG
5 - 0
ZAL
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MFF
0 - 2
ZAL
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |