Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 9-0
Ludogorets vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LPL
1 - 1
LUD
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
LUD
4 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
LUD
2 - 0
FKV
82%
14%
5%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
LUD
38%
25%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BER
2 - 4
LUD
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
FCK
1 - 0
TNS
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
TNS
0 - 2
FCK
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
TNS
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 2
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
25%
22%
53%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |