UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 1-1
Ludogorets vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LSO
2 - 2
LUD
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
STB
1 - 0
LUD
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUD
2 - 0
CSK
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 3
LUD
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LPL
1 - 4
LUD
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STB
0 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
STB
1 - 0
LUD
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
STB
6 - 0
PAN
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CLU
0 - 1
STB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
STB
2 - 1
FCA
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |