Ludogorets vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 1
LUD
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUD
4 - 1
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BVR
0 - 1
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUD
2 - 1
LSO
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 1
LUD
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
VID
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 0
MON
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
BER
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
3 - 1
MON
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
LPL
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |