Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 2-3
Ludogorets vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LUD
5 - 0
ETA
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
LUD
4 - 0
KFB
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FLK
3 - 1
LUD
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
KFB
2 - 0
LUD
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CSU
0 - 2
LUD
37%
25%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 1
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAL
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 4
OLI
9%
16%
76%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 4
OLI
14%
20%
65%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |