Ludogorets vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 0
LUD
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
LUD
1 - 0
SPA
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 0
LUD
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LUD
6 - 0
DOB
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 6
LUD
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NES
2 - 1
DOR
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
NES
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOB
0 - 1
NES
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SVE
1 - 2
NES
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |