Ludogorets vs Neftochimic Burgas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
PSV
0 - 2
LUD
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
LUD
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CVA
3 - 1
LUD
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUD
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
3 - 0
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
6 - 0
NEF
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEF
0 - 1
CVA
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
BER
2 - 0
NEF
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 3
LPL
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CSK
4 - 0
NEF
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |