UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 5-0
Ludogorets vs Titograd Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
LUD
3 - 0
LOK
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
DIN
1 - 1
LUD
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
SLP
1 - 2
LUD
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
LUD
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LUD
0 - 2
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Titograd Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
MLA
2 - 1
BBL
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
MLA
2 - 3
KRU
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MLA
0 - 1
MOR
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MLA
2 - 3
RUD
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BUD
1 - 2
MLA
47%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |