Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
2º
1º
2
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
6 | 23 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 21 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 19 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 18 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 16 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 15 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 14 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 13 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 13 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
2 | 13 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 13 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 12 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 12 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 11 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
16º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
78% | 9% |
|
Next round
|
18% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
BVR
0 - 1
LUD
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
RIJ
0 - 0
LUD
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LUD
5 - 0
SEP
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
DNM
2 - 2
LUD
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
LUD
1 - 0
DNM
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
ARK
1 - 1
LSO
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
LSO
1 - 1
CVA
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LSO
0 - 1
HAP
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
OFK
2 - 0
LSO
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |