Europa League 1/16
Global 4-3
Ludogorets vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 2
LUD
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LUD
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NEF
0 - 3
LUD
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
4 - 0
LSO
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
DZG
1 - 2
LUD
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
3 - 2
SAS
62%
22%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LUD
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
LAZ
27%
28%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |