UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 4-2
Ludogorets vs Ballkani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FLK
3 - 1
LUD
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
KFB
2 - 0
LUD
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CSU
0 - 2
LUD
37%
25%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
LUD
3 - 0
LPL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ballkani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
KFB
2 - 0
LUD
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 2
KFB
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GJI
0 - 0
KFB
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
KFB
2 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
KFB
1 - 0
LLA
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |