Ludogorets vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 3
LUD
19%
25%
57%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 0
ARK
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OFK
0 - 2
LUD
19%
24%
56%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
5 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 3
LUD
19%
25%
57%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SSO
3 - 1
HEB
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 0
ETA
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FLK
3 - 2
HEB
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BVR
3 - 2
HEB
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |