Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 5-0
Ludogorets vs Torpedo Kutaisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SSO
0 - 0
LUD
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
FTK
0 - 1
LUD
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
ZRI
1 - 1
LUD
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FKV
0 - 2
LUD
13%
23%
64%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
FTK
0 - 1
LUD
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
KUK
2 - 0
FTK
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FTK
5 - 2
KUK
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
VIK
0 - 4
FTK
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
FTK
3 - 0
VIK
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |