UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 5-1
Ludogorets vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
LUD
1 - 0
AEL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
DBU
2 - 4
LUD
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
STB
2 - 4
LUD
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LUD
3 - 1
CVA
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
LUD
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
DIF
2 - 0
F91
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
F91
3 - 0
FOL
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
JEU
4 - 3
F91
13%
21%
66%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
F91
3 - 1
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
F91
5 - 0
RAC
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |