Ludogorets vs Dobrudzha Dobrich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
2º
1º
0
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
3 | 21 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 20 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 18 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 18 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 18 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 16 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 15 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 14 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 13 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 13 |
11º
|
3.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 13 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 12 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 12 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 11 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 11 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
77% | 6% |
|
Next round
|
18.5% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
RIJ
0 - 0
LUD
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LUD
5 - 0
SEP
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
DNM
2 - 2
LUD
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
LUD
1 - 0
DNM
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
LUD
0 - 2
HRA
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dobrudzha Dobrich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
LPL
1 - 0
DOB
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CVA
4 - 1
DOB
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DOB
2 - 1
SVA
42%
24%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
DOB
3 - 1
CHE
40%
23%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 3
DOB
17%
25%
58%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |