UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 3-6
Ludogorets vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LUD
5 - 0
SVA
77%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHR
2 - 1
LUD
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
SHR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 0
LPL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 1
IST
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 1
DZG
14%
23%
63%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SLA
1 - 5
DZG
17%
24%
59%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
2 - 2
SHK
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 2
LOK
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |