Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
2º
3º
2º
84
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LPL
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 1
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 0
CVA
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
CSK
5 - 1
BVR
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
HEB
0 - 4
CSK
17%
27%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OFK
0 - 1
CSK
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |