Cup Bulgaria 1/16
Global 2-2
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHB
1 - 0
LUD
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BVR
1 - 1
LUD
16%
23%
61%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
LUD
3 - 0
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LPL
2 - 5
LUD
41%
25%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSK
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 0
LSO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SSO
0 - 2
CSK
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CSK
3 - 1
ETA
78%
15%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |