Ludogorets vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 1
BVR
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
SVA
0 - 1
LUD
14%
20%
66%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SSO
1 - 0
LUD
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
LUD
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NPA
0 - 4
CRV
13%
20%
67%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
CRV
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
CRV
2 - 1
SPB
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CRV
3 - 0
RNS
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ČUK
1 - 2
CRV
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |