Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 1
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 2
LUD
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LSO
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CVA
3 - 2
SVA
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 2
CVA
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 2
LUD
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BVR
0 - 2
CVA
21%
30%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |