Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LUD
1 - 0
SEP
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 3
LUD
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 0
LUD
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUD
4 - 1
SSO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
CVA
2 - 3
LSO
29%
30%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ETA
1 - 1
CVA
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
CSK
0 - 0
CVA
71%
18%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 4
BER
32%
31%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 0
TOS
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |