Ludogorets vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LUD
5 - 1
SVE
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LUD
2 - 0
KAL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CHB
0 - 0
LUD
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 1
BER
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BER
0 - 0
40%
30%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
BVR
1 - 1
BER
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BER
1 - 2
LSO
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |