Ludogorets vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 5
LUD
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 4
LUD
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUD
4 - 0
LOK
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
6 - 0
LUD
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
OFK
1 - 3
LUD
32%
26%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 4
ARS
11%
19%
70%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 0
REA
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 0
MID
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
6 - 0
LUD
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 2
SWA
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |