Ludogorets II vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 0
OFK
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LOV
2 - 0
LUD
62%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
LUD
3 - 1
STR
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
KAR
3 - 0
LUD
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LUD
2 - 0
BGA
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
NES
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NES
0 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 0
NES
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NES
2 - 1
LOK
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NES
0 - 2
CSK
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |